GBM News

South Africa: Expected drop in dwelling permits in 2017´s first quarter

As expected in the first quarter of the year, the South African dwelling permits dropped by -12.9% down to 13.067 units in South Africa. In comparison to the last 10 years the value peaked at 28.782 units in the second quarter of 2007 and the lowest value was 9.452 units in the first quarter of 2010. In comparison to the year before the value decreased by -3,9%.

South Africa: Residential building completions are falling again

As of April 2017 the residential building completions were at a low of 3.320 units in South Africa. Which is -18,40% below the annual average and the lowest value since January 2017. In comparison to March, the value dropped by -29,20% and when compared to the last 10 years the value peaked at 8.098 units in August 2007 and the lowest value was 1.805 units in January 2011.Compared to the year before the value increased by 22,00%.

Norway: Annual drop in dwelling completions in the first quarter down to 8576 units

In the first quarter of 2017, the Norwegian dwelling completions experienced their typical drop, this year down to 8.576 units. Last year the value was at 8.314 units in the first quarter, in the last 10 years the value peaked at 10.685 units (fourth quarter 2016) and their lowest value was 4.333 units in the second quarter of 2010. Compared to the annual average of 2016, the current value shows an increase of 3,2%.
 

Poland: Dwelling permits at their highest value in 10 years

As of May 2017, the Polish dwelling permits were at 23.401 units, which is a slight rise of 0.8% compared to April, but compared to last year the value increased by 43.6%. In May 2016 the value was at 16.293 units. Overall the current value is the highest it´s been in the last 10 years.

Australia: First quarter typically low in dwelling permits

As expected, the Australian dwelling completions were rather low at 48.241 units in the first quarter of 2017. They still are 17,20% over 2016´s annual average, but had the lowest value since the first quarter of 2016. In comparison to the last 10 years the highest value was 63.380 units in the fourth quarter of 2016 and the lowest value was 29.692 in the first quarter of 2012. In comparison to the year before the value increased by 23,70% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -23,90%.

Canada: Dwelling completions rising again after low first quarter

In the second quarter of 2017, the Canadian dwelling completions were 45.987 units, showing a rise in value by 7,30% when compared to the first quarter. In comparison to the last 10 years the highest value was 58.991 units in the fourth quarter of 2008 and the lowest value was 36.669 units in the first quarter of 2011. In comparison to the year before the value barely increased by 0,80%.

Hungary: Decrease of non residential building permits

In May the Hungarian non residential building permits were at 275188m², which shows a drop in value of -33.1% when compared to the previous month, but is still 1.8% over last year´s annual average. The value is now at the lowest  it´s been at since January.
 

Russia: After December high, residential building completions are still very low

In May 2017, the Russian dwelling completions experienced a slight rise of 2.3% and are now at 54400 units, which is still very low, as it´s about a fourth of the December 2016 value . When compared to the last 10 years the highest value was at 252600 units in December 2014 and the lowest value was 30000 units in February 2007. 

Germany: Dwelling permits closing in on December 2016 high

In May 2017 the dwelling permits rose to 26682 units in Germany. Which is 47% over the previous years´ annual average and the highest since December 2016. After the Februrary low of 22211 units, the value has been areound 25000 for the last few months, during the last 10 years the highest value was 31125 units in December 2016 and the lowest value was 9860 units in January 2009. When compared to the year before the value decreased by -0.7% and in comparison to the last period the value increased by 9.7%.

Germany: Rise in non residential building permits

The German non residential building permits were at 2823000m² in May 2017, which shows a 4.1% rise compared to april and a 1.9% rise over the annual average of 2016. In comparison to the last 10 years the highest value was 4002000m² in July 2008 and the lowest value was 1734000m² in January 2010. 

South Africa: Dwelling permits are recovering from July 2016 low

As of December 2016, the South African dwelling permits were at 3271 units, after having reached their lowest value in 10 years in July at 1444 units. This is still -20.8% below last years´annual average and the all time high was at 8950 units in November 2009. Compared to the previous month, the value increased by 64.4%.
 

Spain: Dwelling permits have dropped since April

In April 2017, the Spanish dwelling permits were at 7147 units. Which is -49.7% under the annual average of the previous year and the lowest since December 2016. But the current developments fit into the pattern shown in the graph, projecting another high. In comparison to the last 10 years the highest value was 102330 units in March of 2007 and the lowest value was 3021 units in August 2013. Compared to the year before the value increased by 0.4% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -28.9%.

Spain: Dwelling completions drop back to baseline

As of April 2017, the Spanish dwelling completions have dropped back to the baseline of the previous months at 3625 units. But compared to the March high of 4527 units there has been a drop of -19.9%. When compared to the last 10 years, the value peaked at 70691 units in July 2008 and reached its´ lowest point at 1878 units in August 2016.

Czech Republic: After a low in January, dwelling permits are on the rise

As of May 2017 the Czech dwelling permits were 3250 units in Czech Republic. A slight rise of 7% over the previous years´annual average can be detected and the current value is the highest since June 2016. When compared to the last 10 years the highest value was 4757 units in August 2007 and the lowest value was at 1661 units in January 2015. In comparison to the year before, the value increased by 6.5% and in comparison to the last period (April 2017) the value increased by 26.8%.

United States: Dwelling permits slowly rising again

In May,  the American dwelling permits were at 113000 units. Which is 43.3% over the annual average of 2016 and the highest since June 2016. When compared to the last 10 years the highest value was 146031 units in May 2007 and the lowest value was 36280 units in January 2011. In general, they seem to be slowly getting back on track again.

China: Pattern in non residential building repeats itself

The Chinese non residential building sector is showing a distinct pattern; there is a steady increase from January to July, then it shoots up from July to October and  experiences a rapid drop from October to January. As of January 2017, it has reached it´s lowest point again at 225.6 million m², which is 18.9% beneath the annual average of the year before and the lowest since January 2016. The numbers dropped by 62.9% compared to the last quarter and in comparison to the last 10 years, the numbers peaked at 619 million m² in the fourth quarter of 2015 and the lowest value was at  91.3 million m² in the first quarter of 2007.

Ireland: Dwelling completions on the rise again

Following a the last high in December 2016 (1556 units), the Irish dwelling completions are picking up again and as of March 2017 they are at 1389 units. Even though it is still 28.7% below last years´average, the value has risen quite a bit when compared to March 2016 (1032 units). Compared to February 2017, the value has risen by 10% and compared to December 2016 by 34.6%. During the last 10 years, the value peaked at 7696 in November 2007 and was at its´lowest in January 2013 (511 units).

Germany: Dwelling permits at their lowest since February

In April 2017 the German dwelling permits were at 24318 units. Compared to March, the value dropped by 4.8%.  During the last 10 years, the highest value was 31125 units in December 2016 and the lowest value was 9860 units in January 2009. In comparison to the year before the value decreased by -13%.

China: Dwelling completions are steadily rising

In the first quarter of 2017 the dwelling completions were at 2560000 units in China. Similar to the previous years, there was a big drop in value from the fourth quarter of the previous year to the first quarter of the current year. In gerneral even those numbers have been improving, displaying a continuous growth in Chinese dwelling completions. In comparison to the last 10 years the highest value was 5663000 units in the fourth quarter of 2014 and the lowest value was 688000 units in the first quarter of 2007. In comparison to the year before the value increased by 15.2% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -53%.

Denmark: Drop in dwelling completions after peak in October 2016

During the first quarter of 2017 the dwelling completions were at 4587 units in Denmark, which is the lowest since October of last year, but following the general trend still 16.9% over the previous years´annual average. Compared to the last 10 years the value peaked at 7984 units in the third quarter of 2007 and the lowest value was 2138 units in the third quarter of 2010. In comparison to the year before the value decreased by -3.9% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -12.3%.

Denmark: After peaking in October, dwelling permits have dropped by 30%

As of the first quarter of 2017, the Danish dwelling permits were at 5285 units. Over the course of the last 10 years the value peaked at 7577 units in the fourth quarter of 2016 and the lowest value was at 1553 units in the first quarter of 2009. When compared to the previous year, the value decreased by -2.2% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -30.2%.

United States: After peaking in October dwelling completions have been steadily dropping

Inthe first quarter of 2017 the American dwelling completions were at 247200 units. Which is 9.9% over last years´annual average and the lowest since the first quarter of 2016. Compared to October 2016, the value dropped by -17.7% and in comparison to the last 10 years the peak was at 389100 units in third quarter of 2007 and the lowest value was 119800 units in first quarter of 2012.

 

United States: Slight increase in dwelling permits

In the first quarter of 2017 the American dwelling permits were at 284600 units, showing a very slight increase of 0.4% compared to the last quarter. When compared to the last 10 years the value´s  peak was at 412579 units in the second quarter 2007 and the lowest value was 122140 in the first quarter 2009. In comparison to the year before the value increased by 10.7% and in comparison to the last period the value increased by 0.4%.

Turkey: Dwelling permits at a low

The Turkish dwelling permits reached a low of 227820 units in the first quarter of 2017. Compared to the last one, the value dropped by 21.3% and in comparison to the annual average of the year before by 11.7%. In comparison to the last 10 years the highest value was 297031 units in the first quarter of 2014 and the lowest value was 108689 units in the third quarter 2009.

France: Dwelling permits are steadily rising again

As of April 2017, the French dwelling permits were at 32100 units which is an increase compared to the numbers of 2016 (30 600 units) and especially 2015 (28 000 units).  It is -6.2% below the annual average of 2016 and the lowest since January 2017. In total, when compared to the year before, the value increased by 4.9% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -23%.

Spain: Dwelling completions highest since May 2015

In March 2017, the dwelling completions were at 4527 units in Spain. Which is -76.2% under the annual average of 2016 but still the highest since May 2015. Compared to the last 10 years, the highest value was 70691 in July 2008 and the lowest value was 1878 in August 2016. In comparison to the year before the value increased by 39.9% and in comparison to the last period the value increased by 40.8%.

Germany: Dwelling permits down to 22211 units

The German dwelling permits have dropped considerably since December 2016. As of February 2017, they are at 22211 units, which is still 23.2% over the annual average of 2016. Compared to January the  value fell -1.2% down to 22211. In December 2016 the value was at 31125 units which means it has dropped by 28.6% since then. 

Germany: Non residential building permits highest since December 2016

As of February 2017, the non residential building permits have risen to 3245m² in Germany, which is still -19.2% under the annual average of the year before but the highest since December 2016. The value rose 8.3% up to 3245. During the the last 10 years, the highest value was at 5098m² in June 2012 and the lowest value was 2931m² in February 2015. In comparison to the year before, the value decreased by -4.3% and compared to the January, the value increased by 8.3%.

Spain: Drop in dwelling permits

Following a peak of 8606 units in November 2016, the Spanish dwelling permits have been steadily dropping down to 6905 units in December, which is the lowest they have been in four months (5018 units in August 2016). This means a drop of -65.5% under the annual average of the previous year and a -19.8% drop below November´s value. Over the course of the last 10 years, the value peaked at 130630 units in September 2006 and its´ lowest value was at 3021 units in August 2013. Compared to the year before the value barely decreased, by just -2.3%.

Estonia: Rise in dwelling permits

In the first quarter of 2017, the Estonian dwelling permits reached a peak at 1764 units. Which is 59.7% over the annual average of the previous year and the highest since the second quarter of 2016, meaning that the value rose by 24.3% up to 1764 units. Over the course of the last 10 years, the highest value was 3291 units in the second quarterof 2007 and the lowest value was 328 units in the first quarter 2009.  In comparison to the year before, the value increased by 36.7%.

Austria: Continuous decrease in dwelling permits

In the fourth quarter of 2016, the Austrian dwelling permits dropped to 11706 units, which is still 7.5% over the previous years´ average, but the lowest since the first quarter of 2015. During the last 10 years the highest value was reached in the second quarter of 2016 at 15917 units and the lowest point was in the first quarter of 2010 at 8173 units. Compared to 2015, the value decreased by 13.2% and in comparison to the last quarter it dropped by 11.4%.

Australia: 3 month low in dwelling permits

As of March 2017, the Australian dwelling permits were at 17263 units. This is 14.4% over the annual average of 2016, but still the lowest since January 2017. The value fell -0.7% down to 17263.Over the course of the last 10 years the highest value was at 22969 units in October 2015 and the lowest value was 7431 in January 2009. Compared to the year before, the value decreased by -13.6% and in comparison to the last period the value barely decreased by -0.7%.

Czech Republic: Rising value of dwelling permits

In March 2017 the dwelling permits were 2667 units in the Czech Republic, which is -12.2% beneath the annual average of the previous year but still the highest since November 2016. The value rose 27.4% up to 2667. Throughout the last 10 years the highest value was at 4757 units in August 2007 and the lowest value was 1661 units in January 2015. Compared to the year before, the value increased by 10.9% and in comparison to the last period the value increased by 27.4%.

Spain: Recovering of dwelling permits

 

The Spanish dwelling permits were at a 7 month high of 8622 units in February 2017. This is 39.7% beneath the annual average of the previous year, but still the highest since July 2016.  Compared to the last 10 years the value reached its´peak at 102330 units in March 2017 and the lowest value was at 3021 units in August 2013. In comparison to 2016 the value rose by 8.3% and compared to the last period the value increased by 4.9%.

Germany: Dwelling permits are peaking

As of March 2017 the dwelling permits were 25547 units in Germany, which is 41.6% over the annual average of the previous year and the highest since December 2016.The value rose 15% up to 25547 units. Compared to the last 10 years the highest value was at 31125 units in December 2016 and the lowest value was 9860 units in January 2009. In comparison to the year before, the value decreased by -2.5% and compared to the last period the value increased by 15%.

Germany: Non residential building permits experience 20% increase

As of March 2017, the German non residential building permits peaked at 3895m², which is  -3.1% under the annual average of the previous year, but still the highest since December 2016. The value rose 20% up to 3895. During the last 10 years the value peaked at 5098m² in June 2012 and the lowest value was reached at 2931m² in February 2015. Compared to the year before the value barely increased by 0.8% and in comparison to the last period the value increased by 20%.

Canada: Dwelling permits have overtaken last year´s average

The Canadian dwelling permits were at a 4 month high as of March 2017, at 18080 units, which is 6% over the annual average of the previous year and the highest since November 2016. Compared to the last 10 years the peak was at 24135 units in June 2007 and the lowest value was at 6323 units in January 2009. But compared to the year before the value increased by 14.6% and in comparison to the last period the value increased by 30.9%.

Belgium: New low in non residential building permits

As of February 2017, the non residential building permits were 255m² in Belgium, showing a decrease in value by 15%. Compared to the last 10 years the highest value was at 485m² in June 2010 and the yet lowest value has currently been reached at 255m². In comparison to the year before the value decreased by -39.7%.

Australia: Dwelling permits are still dropping

The Australian dwelling permits were at 15965 units as of April 2017. This is 5.8% over the annual average of the previous year but still the lowest since January 2017. The value dropped by -7.5% down to 15965 units. Compared to the last 10 years the peak was at 22969 units in October 2015 and the lowest value was 7431 units in January 2009. In comparison to the year before the value decreased by -25.2% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -7.5%.

Canada: Stagnation in dwelling permits

In February the dwelling permits were 13764 units in Canada. When compared to 2016, the value increased by 25.6% and in comparison to the last period the value almost stagnated; barely increasing by just 0.4%.. In comparison to the last 10 years the peak was at 24135 units in June 2007 and the lowest value was 6323 units in January 2009.

 

Chile: Dwelling permits at 3 month low

In January 2017, the dwelling permits had dropped to 11042 units in Chile, meaning a -15.8% drop under the annual average and the lowest since October 2016. The value fell -18.6% down to 11042. Compared to the last 10 years the peak was at 27069 units in March 2009 and the lowest value was at 5111 units in July 2016. In comparison to the year before the value increased by 19.9%, but in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -18.6%.

Netherlands: Still below average dwelling permits

The Dutch dwelling permits dropped -6.6% beneath the annual average of the previous year in November 2016. They fell to a new low at 4725 units which is the lowest it has reached since August 2016. Compared to the last 10 years the highest value was 12575 in December 2009 and the lowest value was 1261 in August 2013. When compared to the year before, the value has increased by 4.9% and in comparison to the last period the value decreased by -12.2%.

Canada: Dwelling permits still not close to 2007 peak

 
The Canadian dwelling permits were at their lowest since July 2016 in December of 2016 with 17818 units. This is still 2,9% above the annual average of the previous year. But compared to the last 10 years the value reached its´peak at 24135 units 10 years ago,  in June 2007 and the lowest value was 6323 units in January 2009. In comparison to the year before the value rose by 16.1% and compared to the last period the value dropped by -10.4%.

Amazon als Großhändler

Seit Anfang 2016 spricht Amazon gezielt Hersteller aus dem Bereich der Bauzulieferindustrie an. Nun scheint der Start einer Großhandelsplattform von Amazon bevorzustehen. Dieses Szenario wurde auch von Dr. Schütz in der B+L Studie über die Digitalisierung der Bauzulieferindustrie genauer dargestellt.

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